With the Olympic Games safely out of the way, I wondered how long it would be before the looming prospect of the first elections for police and crime commissioners would become a topic of debate.
The Electoral Commission duly obliged by publishing a pessimistic forecast that only 18.5 per cent of electors will bother to vote in the PCC polls on November 15.
My gut feeling is that the commission’s forecast is weighted on the high side. If the average turnout was 15 per cent, and considerably lower in some areas, I wouldn’t be surprised.
Of course, all of this is guesswork. The commission arrived at its prediction with a series of assumptions based on

